Miguel Sano: The Next...

In Baseball America's list of Top 100 Prospects, Twins minor leaguer Miguel Sano climbed from #94 in 2010, to #60 in 2011, and finally to #18 in 2012.  Sano, the 19 year old kid that makes most Twins fans daydream of 2014, undoubtedly holds the distinction of the top prospect in the Twins organization.  Sano regularly draws comparisons to superstars like Giancarlo Stanton of the Miami Marlins.  While there's never a "sure thing" when it comes to prospects, the young Twins third baseman certainly tip-toes that line.  I've never seen Miguel play in person, but in my mind I dream of three different players that I imagine Sano growing up to become: Giancarlo Stanton, Albert Pujols, or Miguel Cabrera.  I don't mind setting lofty expectations, as I am only a fan.  As a fan (which originates from the word "fanatic"), I am allowed to think big!

Miguel Sano - courtesy mlb.com

Offensively, Sano blew the Midwest League out of the water in 2012, leading the league in home runs and RBI's.  Sano's defense needs the most improvement, making 42 errors last season at third base.  In three seasons in the minor leagues, he has made 90 errors and holds a career fielding percentage of .885.  The pop in his bat somewhat makes up for his defensive struggles, however.  His .893 OPS would place him .003 points ahead of Josh Willingham in 2012.

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	Lev	Aff	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	TB
2012	19	Beloit	MIDW	A	MIN	129	457	75	118	28	4	28	100	8	3	80	144	.258	.373	.521	.893	238

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table

Generated 1/7/2013.

Giancarlo Stanton played a half a season at High-A and a half in Double-A as a 19 year old in the Marlins organization.  Like Sano, Stanton had played 2 previous seasons in the organization.  Stanton's power numbers translate very closely to Sano's, hitting 28 home runs and driving in 92.  They even struck out exactly the same amount in nearly the same number of at bats.  The two real significant differences lie in Sano's more frequent walks, but Stanton playing at a higher level of baseball.  Defensively, Stanton played in the outfield, which is a much easier position to master defensively than third base.  Baseball America ranked Giancarlo Stanton the 16th best prospect in the MLB before the 2009 season.

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	Lev	Aff	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	TB
2009	19	2 Teams	2 Lgs	AA-A+	FLA	129	479	76	122	24	5	28	92	3	3	59	144	.255	.341	.501	.842	240
2009	19	Jupiter	FLOR	A+	FLA	50	180	27	53	9	3	12	39	2	2	28	45	.294	.390	.578	.968	104
2009	19	Jacksonville	SOUL	AA	FLA	79	299	49	69	15	2	16	53	1	1	31	99	.231	.311	.455	.766	136

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table

Generated 1/7/2013.

Albert Pujols got his start in the minor leagues at the age of 20 playing a majority of the season in Low-A ball for the Cardinals organization, eventually making 3 appearances in AAA that season.  Pujols hit for higher average, struck out much less frequently, but otherwise finished with similar numbers to those of 19 year old Sano and Stanton.  He spent nearly all of his time, like Sano, at third base, ending the season with 22 errors and a .950 fielding percentage.  Baseball America ranked Albert Pujols the 42nd best prospect in the MLB before the 2001 season.  Pujols was un-ranked in 2000.

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	Lev	Aff	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	TB
2000	20	3 Teams	3 Lgs	A-A+-AAA	STL	133	490	74	154	41	7	19	96	4	5	46	47	.314	.378	.543	.920	266
2000	20	Peoria	MIDW	A	STL	109	395	62	128	32	6	17	84	2	4	38	37	.324	.389	.565	.953	223
2000	20	Potomac	CARL	A+	STL	21	81	11	23	8	1	2	10	1	1	7	8	.284	.341	.481	.822	39
2000	20	Memphis	PCL	AAA	STL	3	14	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	2	.214	.267	.286	.552	4

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table

Generated 1/7/2013.

Miguel Cabrera followed a similar track to that of Stanton and Sano, playing his third professional season at the High-A level as a 19 year old.  Cabrera's power statistics were significantly lower than the other three at this age.  Although he hit 43 doubles, only 9 balls landed in the cheap seats.  Cabrera rarely walked, but also didn't strike out at the alarming rates of Sano and Stanton.  He made 16 errors that season playing third base, and finished with a .936 fielding percentage - not as bad as Sano, but still not great.  The 2012 AL MVP, according to the statistics, probably had the least successful season at Sano's current age of the four.  Baseball America ranked Miguel Cabrera the 38th best prospect in the MLB before the 2002 season.

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	Lev	Aff	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	TB
2002	19	Jupiter	FLOR	A+	FLA	124	489	77	134	43	1	9	75	10	1	38	85	.274	.333	.421	.754	206
4 Seasons						368	1428	225	409	103	10	28	228	23	5	131	262	.286	.350	.431	.782	616

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table

Generated 1/7/2013.

Although the numbers in each comparison are close in many areas, the similarities between Sano and Stanton's career path seem almost identical.  Stanton may have been a hair ahead in progression at Sano's current age, but in any event he eventually made his big league debut at the age of 20 for the Florida Marlins.  In his first three seasons with the Marlins, Stanton hit .270 with 93 homers and 232 RBI.  He even led the NL in slugging percentage in 2012.  Stanton still struggles to put the ball in play, striking out 432 times in 1324 at bats (32.6%), which can be somewhat expected from such a raw power hitter.

Year	Age	Tm	Lg	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	BA	OBP	SLG	OPS	OPS+	TB	Awards
2010	20	FLA	NL	100	359	45	93	21	1	22	59	5	2	34	123	.259	.326	.507	.833	118	182
2011	21	FLA	NL	150	516	79	135	30	5	34	87	5	5	70	166	.262	.356	.537	.893	141	277	MVP-23
2012	22	MIA	NL	123	449	75	130	30	1	37	86	6	2	46	143	.290	.361	.608	.969	158	273	AS,MVP-24
3 Yrs				373	1324	199	358	81	7	93	232	16	9	150	432	.270	.350	.553	.903	140	732

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 1/7/2013.

If Miguel Sano does indeed follow a similar career path as Giancarlo Stanton, the power numbers sure do look appealing.  The two biggest factors to his success will be his abilities to cut down on strikeouts and sharpen his defensive skills.  It will be interesting to see if Sano changes positions by the time he reaches the majors, possibly either to first base (depending on Chris Parmalee's progress) or to a corner outfield spot.  Stanton's track would place Sano with the Twins either late this season or hopefully ready by 2014.  No matter when he arrives, there's no question he has the potential to rejuvenate a fan base that quickly diminished after two near-100 loss seasons.  Miguel Sano may just become the next Giancarlo Stanton.

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